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Forecast: electricity for industry will sharply rise in price in Russia
The Market Council has updated the forecast for the dynamics of the cost of electricity for industrial enterprises until 2022. The most notable growth - by 15% - will be in Siberia in 2021. The Ministry of Economy is already proposing to develop measures to curb the rise in energy prices.
According to "Merchant», The regulator updated the forecast of wholesale electricity prices at the request of the Federal Antimonopoly Service. At the same time, lower tariffs remain for the population, and wholesale energy prices were taken into account in the forecast. Network tariffs and sales margins were not taken into account in the forecast, although they account for about 50% of the final price.
Despite the dip in energy consumption in 2020, experts from the Market Council believe that demand in the European part of Russia and the Urals will recover next year. In Siberia, the level of energy consumption will return to its previous values already in 2021. At the same time, the cost of electricity will grow by an average of 5,87%, which is more than the forecasted inflation rate. In 2022, the rise in price will be 5,62%. In Siberia, the increase will be much larger: by 2021% in 15,39, and by 2022% in 6,84.
The rise in prices in Siberia is primarily due to the increase in demand for energy. In order to prevent a big jump, the Ministry of Energy proposes to freeze the volume of non-market surcharges in the price of capacity at the level of the current year.