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Four pandemic scenarios predicted by WHO
After analyzing the development of coronavirus, the World Health Organization (WHO) identified four scenarios in which an epidemic develops in different countries. Best of all, according to her estimates, the countries of Asia managed.
About the types of disease development told on briefing head of WHO Tedros Ghebreyesus. In his opinion, the countries of Southeast Asia, the Pacific, the Caribbean and Africa have coped best with the pandemic. There, the authorities were warned of an outbreak of infection, which made it possible to quickly introduce anti-epidemic measures and take the situation under control.
In Europe, there were more outbreaks of coronavirus, but thanks to the actions of the authorities and the reaction of the population, they quickly managed to stop. In countries where restrictions were introduced and then relaxed, WHO is observing a third scenario for the epidemic. Due to the weakening of quarantine, many measures to combat the incidence of the population are not implemented, which is why the state as a whole is losing ground in the fight against coronavirus.
North and South America, as well as South Asia, went according to the fourth scenario. There is a sharp increase in the number of cases, and both American continents remain the epicenter.