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Diamonds are "our all"
Russia is one of the five largest diamond-mining states
In Yakutsk during the last 5 years, the project of creating a special economic zone (SEZ) for the lapidary and jewelry industries was developed. However, he did not intend to create a diamond exchange, which was a significant drawback of this project. Planned indicators for the period up to 2020, set in it to the lapidary and jewelry industries, were unrealistic. This was obvious, given the profitability of the lapidary production and the instability of the global diamond market. For the first time, the issue of creating a diamond exchange in Yakutsk under the SEZ of the lapidary and jewelry industries was proposed by the Department of Subsoil Use Economy of the Institute of Nuclear Power Engineering of the NEFU named after NN Burdenko. M.K. Ammosov in 2013 in recommendations to the Ministry of Economy and Industrial Policy of the RS (Y).
Given that the Moscow Diamond Exchange has been established in Moscow for a long time, which still does not make exchange trades with rough diamonds, it would be preferable for the republic to create an exchange in the territory of Yakutia as part of the programs for the development of the Far East. In addition, due to the changing political and economic situation, it would be possible to create a commodity exchange in Vladivostok for trade in oil, gas, coal and other commodities.
The world diamond business in the third millennium
The entire global diamond business was shocked when, in 2013, Oppenheimer's family sold 40% of De Beers shares to Anglo American holding company for 5,3 billion dollars, having ceased its nearly 100-year ownership of this business. However, owning both ends of the diamond pipeline and indirectly managing the world's largest diamond mining company (through Anglo American, in which the family owns 2% of the shares), they continue to manipulate the global diamond business, and the very well-thought-out and legendary De Beers motto is the diamond Forever (a diamond is forever).
This event significantly changed the current situation in the structure and organization of the global diamond market. Anglo American, having control over De Beers, can later be more flexible and mobile, depending on the commodity markets, to redistribute the revenues to more profitable segments and thus maintain stability during the crisis periods.
Speaking about the role played by ALROSA in the economy of Yakutia, it is difficult not to agree with the statement of the President of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) that this is "our everything", and there is no exaggeration in this. Despite the arrival of the largest Russian mining companies in the republic, which began large-scale development of the country's oil and gas and coal fields, taking into account the taxation system in Russia, the diamond and diamond complex remains the strategic and main budget-forming branch of the economy, and OAO ALROSA is its foundation. The shares of AK ALROSA today remain the last major asset in the ownership of the republic, which makes it necessary to maintain state control over the company. And, as the practical experience of recent years has shown, it is state support that can keep the diamond mining industry from a sharp decline during periods of economic instability and crisis phenomena in the world economy, since the main component of the price of diamond mining and processing products is formed in the luxury market.
As can be seen from the data presented, the BRACS countries play a leading role in the global diamond business, producing more 2 / 3 diamonds in terms of volume and 5 / 6 in value, which indicates a higher level of diamond trading. In addition, it should be noted that in these countries the cutting industry was created.
Contours of the world diamond pipeline up to 2030 year
World Economic Crisis 2008-2010 Radically changed the balance sheets between the mining, cutting and diamond trading enterprises that were formed in the pre-crisis times. The competition between them in these conditions has sharply intensified. The decline in demand for diamonds and diamond jewelry in 2010 led to a change in the proportions between the sectors of the diamond business, and the performance of the global diamond pipeline-2012 differs from the previous one.
In 2012, the six largest companies played a major role in the diamond industry (see table 2).
The share of the world's largest companies in diamond mining after overcoming the crisis in this sector is about two-thirds in physical volume and more than 80% in value. Based on these proportions, one can roughly determine the world diamond mining. However, if in a stable market the method allows to predict the indicators with sufficient accuracy, then in a crisis situation such an estimate leads to significant errors.
Moreover, in 2013, a group of BHP Billiton left the diamond business out of the diamond business. For a more accurate assessment, the author previously used a three-component diagram, which reflects all three segments of the diamond market. Based on this, with the use of three-dimensional analysis, as well as taking into account the assessments of the state of the segments of the diamond business, the calculations of the diamonds in 2012 were performed (Table 3, figure 1).
Fig. 1. Change in the structure of the diamond pipeline in 2003-2012.
With the help of a three-component diagram, taking into account current trends in the global economy and segments of the diamond pipeline, a forecast is made for further changes in the segments of the global diamond business in the future up to 2030 (Table 4).
According to the forecasted figures for the diamond pipeline, the cost of mined diamonds will almost double by 2030, while the cost of diamonds produced and the volume of diamond jewelry sales are only two-thirds.